相关性矩阵

哪些市场同向波动、哪些反向波动——30天、90天和365天。

BTC / S&P 500
0.38
正相关
BTC / 黄金
0.49
正相关
BTC / ETH
0.89
强正相关
黄金 / DXY
-0.47
负相关

相关性矩阵

资产BTCETHSOLXRPBNBDOGES&P 500Nasdaq 100Dow JonesDAX 40Nikkei 225VIXAAPLMSFTNVDAAMZNGOOGLTSLA黄金白银铜WTI原油天然气DXYEUR/USDUSD/JPYGBP/USDUS 10年期US 2年期
BTC1.000.890.840.890.710.840.380.380.250.13-0.04-0.260.070.140.280.040.120.440.490.520.29-0.23-0.05-0.330.32-0.100.29-0.12-0.08
ETH0.891.000.830.790.680.760.300.270.220.14-0.10-0.290.160.090.150.070.090.420.470.490.22-0.21-0.06-0.400.42-0.180.31-0.110.00
SOL0.840.831.000.780.720.800.380.370.260.140.01-0.340.070.180.240.150.170.360.410.530.28-0.250.13-0.290.30-0.140.26-0.09-0.04
XRP0.890.790.781.000.720.880.290.300.190.12-0.01-0.21-0.030.140.150.080.200.400.330.420.27-0.190.02-0.310.28-0.130.28-0.08-0.07
BNB0.710.680.720.721.000.820.400.430.200.250.07-0.37-0.060.280.250.190.180.460.310.430.45-0.230.01-0.300.24-0.250.23-0.04-0.05
DOGE0.840.760.800.880.821.000.370.370.240.250.12-0.26-0.010.150.180.130.220.450.310.420.37-0.22-0.01-0.280.27-0.190.25-0.08-0.08
S&P 5000.380.300.380.290.400.371.000.910.800.510.09-0.75-0.030.600.610.490.470.630.360.500.47-0.540.03-0.260.19-0.300.15-0.18-0.14
Nasdaq 1000.380.270.370.300.430.370.911.000.530.380.24-0.68-0.110.540.670.400.330.630.310.510.54-0.490.02-0.180.12-0.220.090.01-0.04
Dow Jones0.250.220.260.190.200.240.800.531.000.53-0.13-0.580.070.470.310.350.350.390.340.340.25-0.55-0.07-0.300.20-0.330.20-0.41-0.26
DAX 400.130.140.140.120.250.250.510.380.531.000.01-0.290.010.360.190.250.300.260.190.230.35-0.50-0.12-0.180.17-0.150.16-0.16-0.02
Nikkei 225-0.04-0.100.01-0.010.070.120.090.24-0.130.011.000.01-0.340.040.270.20-0.080.040.030.060.25-0.05-0.050.30-0.260.13-0.130.390.17
VIX-0.26-0.29-0.34-0.21-0.37-0.26-0.75-0.68-0.58-0.290.011.000.10-0.54-0.52-0.50-0.26-0.49-0.43-0.49-0.420.36-0.130.30-0.220.40-0.19-0.01-0.06
AAPL0.070.160.07-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.03-0.110.070.01-0.340.101.00-0.11-0.22-0.46-0.19-0.01-0.04-0.10-0.24-0.04-0.11-0.010.000.15-0.09-0.23-0.06
MSFT0.140.090.180.140.280.150.600.540.470.360.04-0.54-0.111.000.200.500.350.360.120.200.30-0.280.06-0.340.16-0.460.190.040.00
NVDA0.280.150.240.150.250.180.610.670.310.190.27-0.52-0.220.201.000.210.060.420.270.370.42-0.240.00-0.140.13-0.160.100.07-0.07
AMZN0.040.070.150.080.190.130.490.400.350.250.20-0.50-0.460.500.211.000.690.290.070.110.19-0.150.10-0.080.04-0.300.080.190.24
GOOGL0.120.090.170.200.180.220.470.330.350.30-0.08-0.26-0.190.350.060.691.000.21-0.030.050.10-0.250.14-0.030.03-0.130.03-0.010.06
TSLA0.440.420.360.400.460.450.630.630.390.260.04-0.49-0.010.360.420.290.211.000.320.430.46-0.240.04-0.380.26-0.340.160.00-0.04
黄金0.490.470.410.330.310.310.360.310.340.190.03-0.43-0.040.120.270.07-0.030.321.000.890.40-0.080.18-0.470.52-0.240.41-0.20-0.24
白银0.520.490.530.420.430.420.500.510.340.230.06-0.49-0.100.200.370.110.050.430.891.000.55-0.120.14-0.460.51-0.210.46-0.14-0.21
铜0.290.220.280.270.450.370.470.540.250.350.25-0.42-0.240.300.420.190.100.460.400.551.00-0.34-0.02-0.200.18-0.220.14-0.03-0.04
WTI原油-0.23-0.21-0.25-0.19-0.23-0.22-0.54-0.49-0.55-0.50-0.050.36-0.04-0.28-0.24-0.15-0.25-0.24-0.08-0.12-0.341.000.19-0.050.120.060.160.220.10
天然气-0.05-0.060.130.020.01-0.010.030.02-0.07-0.12-0.05-0.13-0.110.060.000.100.140.040.180.14-0.020.191.00-0.040.070.06-0.010.070.00
DXY-0.33-0.40-0.29-0.31-0.30-0.28-0.26-0.18-0.30-0.180.300.30-0.01-0.34-0.14-0.08-0.03-0.38-0.47-0.46-0.20-0.05-0.041.00-0.920.70-0.830.270.36
EUR/USD0.320.420.300.280.240.270.190.120.200.17-0.26-0.220.000.160.130.040.030.260.520.510.180.120.07-0.921.00-0.500.87-0.20-0.26
USD/JPY-0.10-0.18-0.14-0.13-0.25-0.19-0.30-0.22-0.33-0.150.130.400.15-0.46-0.16-0.30-0.13-0.34-0.24-0.21-0.220.060.060.70-0.501.00-0.460.190.28
GBP/USD0.290.310.260.280.230.250.150.090.200.16-0.13-0.19-0.090.190.100.080.030.160.410.460.140.16-0.01-0.830.87-0.461.00-0.15-0.25
US 10年期-0.12-0.11-0.09-0.08-0.04-0.08-0.180.01-0.41-0.160.39-0.01-0.230.040.070.19-0.010.00-0.20-0.14-0.030.220.070.27-0.200.19-0.151.000.83
US 2年期-0.080.00-0.04-0.07-0.05-0.08-0.14-0.04-0.26-0.020.17-0.06-0.060.00-0.070.240.06-0.04-0.24-0.21-0.040.100.000.36-0.260.28-0.250.831.00
-1.00-0.75-0.50-0.250.00+0.25+0.50+0.75+1.00

绿色=两种资产同向波动,红色=反向波动。点击格子可查看下方图表。

最强的正相关

组合相关系数含义
S&P 500 / Nasdaq 1000.91强正相关
BTC / ETH0.89强正相关
黄金 / 白银0.89强正相关
BTC / XRP0.89强正相关
XRP / DOGE0.88强正相关
EUR/USD / GBP/USD0.87强正相关
BTC / SOL0.84强正相关
BTC / DOGE0.84强正相关
ETH / SOL0.83强正相关
US 10年期 / US 2年期0.83强正相关

最强的负相关

组合相关系数含义
DXY / EUR/USD-0.92强负相关
DXY / GBP/USD-0.83强负相关
S&P 500 / VIX-0.75强负相关
Nasdaq 100 / VIX-0.68负相关
Dow Jones / VIX-0.58负相关
Dow Jones / WTI原油-0.55负相关
S&P 500 / WTI原油-0.54负相关
VIX / MSFT-0.54负相关
VIX / NVDA-0.52负相关
EUR/USD / USD/JPY-0.50负相关

单个组合的滚动相关性

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所选组合的相关性,按所选窗口对每一天重新计算。点击矩阵中的格子即可载入该组合。

日对数收益率的皮尔逊相关系数;每一对只使用两个市场都有交易的日子。不构成投资建议。 更新于: 2026年10月23日 21:05

相关性矩阵显示什么?

每个格子显示所选期间内两种资产日收益率的相关系数。接近 +1 表示两者几乎同步波动,接近 0 表示它们的日内变动彼此几乎无关,接近 -1 表示一个上涨时另一个往往下跌。

相关性对投资组合为何重要

同时持有几种高度相关的资产,分散效果远不如看上去那么好:抛售来袭时它们一起下跌。相关性低或为负的组合可以平滑组合的波动。但相关性并不稳定——危机中它常常跳向 1,而那正是最需要分散的时候。

我们的计算方法

我们采用日对数收益率的皮尔逊相关系数。每一对资产只统计两个市场都有交易的日子,因此“加密货币与股票”的组合按股市交易日衡量。国债行使用收益率的变化,而不是价格。

常见问题

相关系数多少才算好?

没有普遍适用的好数值,取决于目的。想分散风险,可寻找约 0.3 以下的组合;想对冲,则看负值。高于 0.7 时,两种资产在风险上几乎可以互相替代。

比特币与股市同向波动吗?

这会随时间变化。市场平静时,比特币与 S&P 500 的相关系数常在 0.2 到 0.5 之间,但在避险阶段、投资者同时抛售所有高波动资产时会上升。本页的滚动图表显示了这一关系的变化。

矩阵多久更新一次?

日收盘价每隔几小时刷新,因此矩阵以每天一个收盘价跟随市场。30天窗口对行情转变反应最快,1年窗口显示结构性关系。